Now that the project partnering agreement was signed, John and Peter decided they wanted to monitor it to ensure compliance. In the agreement they had established a prejob conference. They invited all the subcontractors to this meeting and explained how they would measure the success of the agreement. They were interested in knowing if there were any violations of the terms. They were also interested in knowing if there were any subcontractors who consistently violated their agreements. So they created the chart shown below.
John and Peter agreed to review the chart with all the subcontractors twice a year during the course of the three-year project. The first piece of work completed was the demolition and removal of an old abandoned structure. They met after that segment of the project was completed to see how well the subcontractors involved were complying with the agreement.
As the chart shows, the demolition and removal segment was not without violation, but the one minor infraction appeared to be due to an oversight rather than intentional. Both Peter and John felt the matter was handled appropriately and decided this was not a violation of their trust. Both thought the project partnering agreement was working well and agreed to continue to monitor the results. John made a comment that seemed to sum up their success so far: “Although we’ve just started the project, we’re already a week ahead of schedule because the demolition
and site cleanup went so smoothly.”
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If you plan to be your own manufacturer and deal with retail buyers, learn the language of retailing and be prepared to talk about such things as “planograms,” “sku numbers, “ and “upc codes” in order to understand and be understood. Other things to consider if your goal is to be the manufacturer of your product:
A. Will you maintain manufacturing facilities and hire the work done or import your product.
B. Will you hire a sales force, place the product with a product representative and/or a distributor, or be your own salesperson.
C. Will you handle the day-to-day requirements of running the business.
There are both advantages and disadvantages to building a business around your invention. You are the only one who is in a good position to decide whether that is the correct choice for you. It will depend in large part on your current financial situation, your age, your state of health, and how you want to spend your time. If you have the financial ability, the expertise and you are up for the challenge, maybe this is the route for you. If being in control of your product is important to you, then this may be the right option for you. You can certainly exercise total control over your product when you are the manufacturer.
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Marketed as simple and easy to own, stocks are actually the most complex and emotionally challenging of all asset classes. Powerlessness,
unmanageability, regrets, fears, social pressures, herd behavior, and complexities galore are the norm. Stock investors are primarily an optimistic group. They believe that stocks they purchase will increase in value. They all know stories of stocks that increased in value by 100 times or more. The potential rewards appear unlimited. Of course, most stock investors are aware of the risk of loss, so they diversify and employ other cautions. Still, every stock investor believes that one or more of his stocks or mutual funds will have fantastic returns.
Businesses issuing stock encourage this belief and are all too happy to accept the investor’s cash.
Investors also rely on society. Stable economic conditions are important for investors. Investing concerns the value of currency. Inflation, deflation, supply and demand: All are part of the investment scene. Ancient savers relied on the utility of the product saved, not the currency value of the paper interest in another’s actions or productivity. However, investors’ reactions to their relationship with their investees are much more powerful than their reactions to economic conditions.
For a fee, many parties facilitate the transfer of investment capital to investees. Stockbrokers, Realtors, bankers, money managers, mutual funds, newsletter writers, and other financial professionals siphon off pieces of investment capital. While investors seek to make high returns with little or no work, financial professionals seek to obtain high wages with little notice. This relationship is the source of many troubling emotions.
Investing involves small segments of society: businesses, individual farms, buildings, and entrepreneurs. Only recently, with the advent of index funds, has investing concerned the whole of a large market: the stock market. Index funds are mutual funds that buy shares in every stock in a given segment of the market. Buying index funds, you can buy a piece of the whole stock market. Still, the stock market is only one segment of society, though currently a large segment.
The investor trusts the investee. When this trust is broken, strong emotions are unleashed. Utility stockholders are furious when a utility cuts or
eliminates its dividend. When a tenant defaults on a lease and forces a property into foreclosure, the property owner has a wide range of emotions triggered by the breach of trust. Some vow never to own real estate again.
Sometimes the investment exceeds expectations. Wal-Mart investors saw their small regional chain become the largest retailer in the world. Berkshire Hathaway went from a shell company to one of the world’s largest corporations. Success triggers grandiosity in some, frivolity in others.
Many successful investors are disoriented and unhappy. However, faith is also a part of investing. The borrower, tenant, or business owner believes the application of science and technology to business practices will produce more than the sum of capital and labor, thus enabling him to pay the rent, interest, dividends, or capital appreciation plus enough for his own savings. Productivity, technology, and efficiency are the creed of investors.
Investment relationships are not identical to romantic, family, and social relationships solely among people. Though people, often with conflicting interests, are involved in investment relationships, the primary relationship is between the individual and an inanimate object: money. At first, it may seem odd that a relationship between a person and an inanimate object could be dysfunctional. In fact, our society is saturated with such dysfunctional relationships.
It is estimated that 10 percent to 15 percent of the U.S. population is alcoholic; essentially more than 30 million Americans have a life threatening dysfunctional relationship to an inanimate object: alcohol. One out of every three adult Americans are obese, based on their dysfunctional relationship to food. Sixty million American families have larger credit card debt than they can afford. Their relationship to material goods is dysfunctional.
In fact, consumerism dysfunction has reached new heights. Compulsive shopping is portrayed in the media as fun, not as an illness. Yet in the booming economy with a roaring stock market of the late 1990s, the number of personal bankruptcies had never been higher: 331,000 filed for bankruptcy in 1980; 413,000 in 1985; 783,000 in 1990; 927,000 in 1995; and more than 1,300,000 filed in 2000. In recent years, Americans as a whole have spent 1 percent more than they earn.
Let’s look at another example. Sally is carrying a $10,000 balance on her credit card. Sally’s monthly minimum payment is 2% of the balance, or $200, and the interest rate on the card is 18% annually.
If Sally makes just the minimum payment each month, it will take her 57.5 years to pay off her balance! Not only that, the $10,000 she put on the credit card will have cost her $33,930 by the time she gets it paid off.
But let’s say Sally always makes her minimum payment, plus an extra $100, or $300 a month. In this case, it will take Sally just under 7 years, instead of 57.5 years, to eliminate this credit card debt. In addition, her $10,000 that she spent on the credit card will only end up costing her $16,000. That’s a savings of over $17,000, which could have been used to eliminate other debts sooner.
Keep in mind as well that this example used a credit card that is charging 18%. With credit cards that charge higher rates (30%+) and things like payday loans, you can spend the rest of your life trying to get caught up. In either case, you’ve got to take drastic action to cut your debt now.
CDOs typically experience three distinct life stages: ramp-up, reinvestment, and amortization/maturity. Ramp-up defines the time between the premarketing phase of an issue and the first cash flow distribution. For cash transactions, the ramp-up phase usually lasts one to nine months; for synthetic transactions, shorter ramp-ups are common. During the reinvestment period, the CDO manager adjusts the collateral portfolio by buying or selling securities, subject to a set of prescribed constraints. The reinvestment period can be as short as three years (for some middle-market CLOs) and as long as seven years.
Equity investors have the right to call the transaction following the noncall period subject to a 2/3 majority vote. This option is most likely exercised when funding costs have fallen and the collateral is trading at or above par. In many cases, equity investors can roll their investment into a new issue and save on underwriting fees. We have estimated this optional redemption clause was worth approximately 61 basis points over the period September 2003 through September 2006. Alternatively, if funding costs rise, this option falls out of the money and has little value.
During the final life stage, the amoritization/maturity stage, a CDO distributes the principal payments from the collateral to the notes, amortizing the latter according to a prescribed schedule. Nearly all older vintage transactions had five-year reinvestment and three-year noncall periods; recent vintage issues typically have longer noncall and reinvestment periods. The final life stage of a CDO can be shortened via a cleanup call (exercised when the collateral’s outstanding balance drops below 10% of its original par value).
An equity investment has none of the contractual certainty or specificity of a debt investment such as a bond (Appraisal Institute, 2001). Ordinary shares in companies can be purchased through a stock market or via a broker. Investors effectively own a share of the company’s assets, that is, its equity, subject to prior claims of operating expenses and debt service, and will receive a regular income or dividend (based on company profits), usually twice a year. The ‘dividend yield’ is similar to the income or running yield on a bond and is calculated by dividing the dividend per share by the market price of the share.
Unlike bonds income from equities is not known in advance as dividends are linked to profits which, in turn, are linked to company performance and economic activity. Also, there is no redemption date so shares must be sold on a secondary market to realise capital. Prices on the secondary market are determined by supply and demand and vary according to future cash-flow expectations and perception of risk (Ball et al., 1998). Equity investments can yield a high rate of return but are more volatile and risky than debt investments such as bonds. Consequently market knowledge is needed if informed decisions are to be made and this incurs fees. Nevertheless, millions of pounds are traded in debt and equity markets daily, traders are sophisticated and well informed, investments are often professionally rated for risk and transaction prices are reported daily. Changes in yields of equities respond quickly to changes in supply and demand due to the efficiency of the equities market. Consequently data from these markets provide an objective basis for property market assumptions, particularly regarding expectations of debt capital performance (Appraisal Institute, 2001).
The majority of subprime loans are refinanced (cash out), meaning that borrowers are extracting equity from their homes. The purchase cohorts differ according to loan type. Specifically, the purchase ARM repayment risk multiplier is 1.06; conversely, the fixed multiplier is 0.97. This suggests that the hybrid ARM purchase borrower demonstrates faster turnover than the cash-out borrower, whereas the fixed rate purchase borrower exhibits a slower turnover.
Rate and term (no cash out) hybrid ARM and fixed rate borrowers exhibit lower voluntary repayment multipliers of 0.89, and 0.83, respectively. This suggests that rate and term borrowers refinance based on an
expectation of living in their homes for a longer period than either refinance cash out or purchase cohort.